Quarter of Republicans View Kamala Harris' Campaign Positively: New Poll

Approximately 25% of Republicans view Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign favorably, according to a recent poll.

President Joe Biden exited the 2024 presidential race on July 21 after weeks of internal Democratic debates over whether he should hand the reins to a new generation following his poor performance against former President Donald Trump in a June debate in Atlanta. Biden endorsed Harris on the same day he withdrew from the race.

An ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted from August 23 to 27 revealed that 24% of Republicans have a positive view of Harris' campaign. In contrast, 93% of Democrats and 56% of independents view the Democratic presidential nominee’s campaign positively.

On the other hand, 79% of Republicans have a favorable opinion of Trump's campaign. His campaign is also viewed positively by 38% of independents and 13% of Democrats.

Overall, 56% of those surveyed believe Harris has done an excellent or good job running her campaign, while 41% feel the same about Trump. The poll surveyed 2,496 adults, comprising 29% Democrats, 29% Republicans, and 30% independents, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Voting Intentions Among Americans:

Among all adults surveyed in the ABC News/Ipsos poll, 50% support Harris, while 46% support Trump. This trend is consistent among registered voters. However, Harris gains an additional 2 points among likely voters in a head-to-head matchup with Trump, leading 52% to 46%.

In an Outward Intelligence poll conducted between August 25 and 29, Harris leads Trump by 5 points, 52.6% to 47.4%. This poll surveyed 2,191 likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.

However, Harris' lead narrows in a recent poll by RMG Research. This poll, conducted from August 26 to 28, shows 50% of 2,441 likely voters support Harris, while 47% back Trump. The margin of error for this poll is plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Performance in Swing States:

It's important to remember that national polls reflect the popular vote but do not necessarily indicate the electoral outcome. The Electoral College system, which assigns electoral votes based on state populations, requires a candidate to secure 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Therefore, polls from battleground states may provide a more accurate picture of the race.

In the Silver Bulletin Presidential Model, updated last Saturday, Harris leads Trump by 1.9 points in Michigan (48.3% to 46.4%), by 1.3 points in Pennsylvania (48.2% to 46.9%), by 0.9 points in Georgia (48.3% to 47.4%), by 3.2 points in Wisconsin (49.4% to 46.2%), and by 0.9 points in Nevada (48.6% to 47.7%).

Conversely, Trump leads Harris by 0.4 points in North Carolina (48.4% to 48%) and by 0.6 points in Arizona (48.5% to 47.9%).