Can Kamala Harris Still Win the Election? States Still in Play?

Kamala Harris faces a near-certain defeat in the presidential race after Donald Trump was projected to win the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania.

Fox News and CNN have called Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina for Trump, pushing his Electoral College total to 266, while Harris remains at 194.

With Nevada, Arizona, Michigan, and Wisconsin still undecided, 42 Electoral College votes from these swing states are still in play. For Harris to win, she would need to secure all four of these states, along with any remaining uncalled states.

Trump is currently leading Harris in all four of the undecided swing states, according to CNN—51% in Nevada and Wisconsin, 52% in Michigan, and 50% in Arizona. He also secured 51% of the vote in North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.

Exit polls indicate that Trump may also win the popular vote, with 51% of the national vote compared to Harris’s 47%.

Polls had previously suggested Harris would win the popular vote, with forecaster Nate Silver giving her more than a 70% chance of outperforming Trump in that regard. However, the race shifted in early October as Trump gained momentum in key battleground states, causing Harris’s chances to plummet.

Since then, the race has been essentially tied, with Trump leading in North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, while Harris holds a slight lead in Nevada, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

Trump’s projected wins represent a significant turnaround from 2020, when North Carolina was the only battleground state he secured.

Following his projected victories in Pennsylvania, Georgia, and North Carolina, Trump declared a “magnificent victory” in West Palm Beach, Florida, on Wednesday morning. "This is a magnificent victory for the American people, allowing us to make America great again," he said, adding, “America has given us an unprecedented and powerful mandate.”

Though Trump has declared victory, he has yet to reach the official required number of Electoral College votes.

Meanwhile, Harris could perform worse than Hillary Clinton in 2016, who won the popular vote but lost the Electoral College. Exit polls suggest that 54% of women supported Harris, while Trump garnered the male vote. However, this performance would be a decline compared to Joe Biden’s 2020 results, where he secured 57% of the female vote.